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DITTO WEDNESDAY & THURSDAY Rather moist clammy conditions forecast as afternoon and evening showers...the odd rumble of thunder next few days with more robust thunderstorms across western and southern parts of the state. Moisture inflow from the chilly Atlantic waters combined with colder pool of air aloft associated with mid-upper level low to keep conditions more clammy vs. humid. Mold/mushrooms are loving it!

SLIGHT TRENDS for gradually improving conditions, but with a cool and partly sunny 4th of July. But we should see partial afternoon sunshine after morning fog and less in the way of afternoon showers Saturday. Sunday **could** stay completely dry.

CAUSE 'N EFFECT: Upper-low swirling from the west gradually pulls into the region. The GRAVE YARD of summer upper lows so far for summer of 2009...Arctic Oscillation in negative phase keeping jet stream abnormally active through Canada and frequent troughs over- developing into cut off lows, as jet stream buckles...end result = wet...clammy showery cooler than normal weather in place...

STILL WATCHING FOR 3 DAYS OF DRY WEATHER - Perhaps a pattern change toward the middle to end of next week

Average high near 77 Normal or average low 54...

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The Forecast for North Central Vermont & Northeast Kingdom:
  Heads-up For: a flash flood watch for potential rain combined with saturated ground with any thunderstorms this evening and overnight.
Tonight: Mostly cloudy. Scattered evening showers mostly toward Rutland. Patchy valley fog. A low in the mid 50s. Light winds.

Friday:  Lots of clouds with a chance for morning showers. Showers...some heavy with a rumble of thunder in the afternoon. Cool with a high in the 60s. Light westerly breeze.

Friday Night:   Chance for evening showers. Patchy valley fog. A low in the mid 50s

Looking further ahead: 
SATURDAY 4th of July: Partly sunny after morning fog. Not so damp and humid in the afternoon but cool. Occasional afternoon showers coming off Mt Mansfield with a high in the mid to upper 60s. Westerly breeze 10 to 15 mph.. SUNDAY: Partly sunny. A slight threat for a brief mountain shower. A low in the low 50s. A high near 70. MONDAY: Partly to mostly sunny. A morning low in the 50s. Warmer in the afternoon. A high in the mid to upper 70s. Northerly breeze 10 mph. RH/6-29-09

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The Forecast for the Champlain Valley:
  Heads-up For: Possible late day thunderstorms. Thunder Dog forecast level a "3" with 10 being worst for pets sensitive to thunder. Additionally a flash flood watch is in effect for potential heavy thunderstorms this evening and overnight.
Tonight: Mostly cloudy. Scattered evening showers mostly toward Rutland. Patchy fog. A low in the upper 50s. Light winds.

Friday: Lots of clouds with a chance for morning showers. Showers...some heavy with a rumble of thunder in the afternoon. Cool with a high in the 60s. Light westerly breeze.

Friday Night:  Chance for evening showers. Patchy valley fog. A low in the mid 50s

Looking further ahead: 
SATURDAY 4th of July: Partly sunny after morning fog. Not so damp and humid in the afternoon but cool. Occasional afternoon showers coming off Mt Mansfield with a high in the mid to upper 60s. Westerly breeze 10 to 15 mph.. SUNDAY: Partly sunny. A slight threat for a brief mountain shower. A low in the low 50s. A high near 70. MONDAY: Partly to mostly sunny. A morning low in the 50s. Warmer in the afternoon. A high in the mid to upper 70s. Northerly breeze 10 mph. RH/6-29-09

   
   
   

forecast condition a few hours from now...

 

 Lake Champlain from BurlingtonPrecipitation amount forecast today

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"We do not inherit the world from our ancestors. We borrow it from our children" - Global Warming issues - see RealClimate.org

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About the photo -- at the top. This was taken one winter morning by Buzz Ferver. It looks at the Worcester Mountain Range's eastern flank.

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